Monday, May 26, 2014

The New Indian Government Must Act Quickly


Captain Rohit Bhatia, based in India and managing director of Wade Maritime Consultants, analyses the challenges ahead for India’s new government:

This is the biggest opportunity that India has had in a long time. It is a chance to set course again on to a higher growth path. The new prime minister, Narendra Modi, and his government must work quickly and diligently to bring all the stakeholders together, frame the right policies with insight from industry leaders and ensure they are implemented without delay. 

Greater investor confidence is the biggest plus for the economy because of the new government. There is a wave of euphoria in the country now with Mr. Modi being elected, and it is coming from all sections of industry and society in general. This huge mandate should drive him to look at all sectors of Indian industry, including shipping, to bring higher economic growth to the country again.

It remains to be seen how successful Mr Modi will be in translating this huge support and confidence into actual positive change. There will be challenges. On the economic front, he has to tackle the country’s runaway inflation, faltering exports and imports, supply-side bottlenecks and the prediction of a weak monsoon season this year due to the “El Nino” effect which could derail any of his good intentions to prop up the economy. India is mainly an agrarian economy and with agriculture forming 17 per cent of the GDP and employing over 50 per cent of the workforce. Monsoons play a very important role in cultivation of crops and if the monsoon is weak, agri output would be weak and as such it will directly affect the GDP growth figure. 

There are global pressures too with the US Federal Reserve still in a ‘tapering’ mood which could result in rising interest rates in the US. This could cause Foreign Institutional Investors to pull funds from emerging markets including India and park them in more secure western markets.

For the maritime industry, a lot needs to be done on the political and regulatory front. Whether it is policy related to land acquisition, environment, tariff, taxation, customs, coastal shipping, dedicated freight corridors or investment, clear-cut policies must be put in place and then implemented. A stronger and more independent Ministry of Shipping is the need of the hour to ensure such policies are made and implemented without undue delay.

Port development is already underway in India and crucial to its economic development, but the government must act here as well. In India, the major ports come under the jurisdiction of the central government, the non-major ports under their respective state governments. Major ports are not growing due to paucity of land and poor hinterland connectivity. Therefore, their first and last mile connectivity suffers. Moreover, central and state governments mostly do not work in tandem resulting in delayed action, or no action, on development projects. 

The non-major ports have huge potential, as they do not have these constraints. The current challenge is that Indian state governments (other than Gujrat) do not currently have a clear-cut maritime policy. Neither do they have maritime boards (except a few states) to implement their policies, develop the non-major ports and take care of maritime affairs. 

Most of the investment we currently see in these ports is private investment. The states need to develop non-major ports with good hinterland connectivity, port and marine infrastructure. They need to support port developers in getting finance, acquring land and developing hinterland road and rail networks. Policy inaction, political and environmental hindrances have delayed the formation of dedicated freight corridors and the award of infrastructure projects, and all of these have contributed to bottlenecks at ports.

The new government has majority in the parliament on its own accord, but for this whole development exercise to be successful, it will have to take its regional partners along. Some of them control coastal states and so are well aware of the need to develop all aspects of maritime infrastructure, not just ports. Their mandates should address better hinterland connectivity, land acquisition policy, coastal and inland water transportation policy, tariff regulations, customs, income tax policy and more so that they earn the on-going support of Indian industry.

Captain Bhatia is a well-known maritime transportation industry expert with over 25 years of operational and commercial experience including organizational turnaround, business strategy, operational risk management, legal and regulatory matters. He has in-depth technical, commercial and operations expertise gained by serving at sea for over 15 years and later on ashore in the maritime management consulting field. His work ashore has included working as a risk management and loss prevention consultant, maritime business advisor and managing director of a leading international maritime management consulting firm.

He has worked on numerous projects over the last decade in operational risk management, business strategy, organizational design, human capital management, strategic investment advice and regulatory compliance for leading shipowners, charterers, traders, oil majors, ports and private equity firms. He is a specialist in shipping operations, maritime economics, transportation strategies and operational risk management as well as being a key note speaker on various advanced training programs and seminars in the shipping industry. He is a master mariner with an MSc in International Shipping (UK) and a member of the International Association of Maritime Economists.http://www.maritime-executive.com/article/The-New-Indian-Government-Must-Act-Quickly-2014-05-23